Monday, March 31, 2008

Lessons from the African Savannah, Revised

Stefano Casertano at Thinking Bits has a hilarious piece about this old parable on the African Savannah.

"Every morning in Africa, a Gazelle wakes up. It knows it must run faster than the fastest lion or it will be killed. Every morning a Lion wakes up. It knows it must outrun the Gazelle or it will starve to death. It doesn't matter whether you are a Lion or a Gazelle. When the sun comes up, you'd better be running."

"First of all," he says, "Lions hunt at night. Only untalented lions, unable to get anything at night, would stay up in the morning to try get something to eat. Then, mostly female lions hunt. So the claim is only valid for "untalented female lions", to avoid generalizations.

"Second, Gazelles seldom run. They only do that when they see a threat; it is rarely represented by a lion. Most of the times it is a van packed with tourists and screaming kids. Gazelles like to perform other activities when they wake up, than start running like crazy. If they do such things, park guards would think they have gone nuts and would shoot them down."

Read the complete post, its great...

While we're on the subject, here is the single greatest wildlife video every filmed. It takes a while to develop, so be sure and watch the full seven minutes. You will not be disappointed.


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Sunday, February 17, 2008

Financial Times Article About My Trip to Nigeria

Della Bradshaw's second article about my trip to Nigeria just came out in today's Financial Times.

I've also got a new post on the Columbia Business School blog out today.

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Saturday, February 16, 2008

The Case Method Makes Room for Africa

Over the past decade, leading African business schools have adopted the traditional case method. But how much can students really learn from these cases when they are about American companies that routinely leave Africa out of their operating plans altogether?

So during winter break, I was one of 30 CBS students who traveled to Africa to write case studies about successful entrepreneurial businesses on the continent. (See previous posts here and here.)

Our goal was to develop a world-class business school case study about Computer Warehouse Group (CWG). This project presented the opportunity to dispel the myth that there are no sophisticated businesses on the African continent--or worse, that businesses there can only get ahead through corruption.

We knew only that the firm had experienced explosive growth over the past few years, achieving some $100 million in revenues in 2007. We knew the firm was an early reseller for Dell, and that it was an important partner for a variety of blue chip Silicon Valley firms, including Cisco, Sun Microsystems and Oracle. We understood CWG's strategy to position the firm as a strategic partner capable of delivering turn-key IT solutions for big companies, and we knew that a well-known global private equity fund had made an offer to purchase a minority stake in the company.

And until we got to Lagos, we didn't have any sense of this company's culture. Was it a one-man show, heavily dependent on its charismatic founder, Austin Okere? Or did it have people and processes in place to ensure continued growth into the future? Did employees at the bottom live the values expressed by those at the top? Or was it more of a show to impress customers, potential investors or other stakeholders?

To answer these questions about the company's culture, we interviewed dozens of employees, from the most senior management to the most junior customer service and sales teams.

As it turned out, we couldn't have picked a better company to lay these stereotypes to rest. The company has thrived in difficult circumstances because of an entrepreneurial culture that embodies the work ethic, personal responsibility and integrity of its founder. The firm has distinguished itself from the competition by consistently delivering on promises to customers and is one of Nigeria's 50 fastest growing companies.

A rep from Cisco told us that the firm is "probably the most entrepreneurial company in Nigeria, certainly in the most entrepreneurial in IT sector." The founder of the competing firm, who has since sold his business to a larger international player, expressed similar respect for his former rivals.

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Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Columbia's Business School's New Blog

Today Columbia Business School launched Public Offering, a new community blog for the students and faculty of the school. I was honored to be asked to write the first student post on the blog about my current project in Nigeria. We're here in Lagos writing a case study about Computer Warehouse Group, Nigeria's leading IT systems integration company. Our project was mentioned in a Financial Times article about Columbia's Entrepreneurship in Africa class on Monday.

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Saturday, January 12, 2008

Cliff Jump Near Penjari National Park in Northern Benin

I paid a couple of local guys $1.00 to show me how to climb to the top of this waterfall--and to jump at the same time so I could be sure it was deep enough to survive!

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Wednesday, January 09, 2008

Entrepreneurship in Africa - A Master Class at Columbia Business School

Columbia Business School's new master class, "Entrepreneurship in Africa," could just as well have been called, "Optimism about Africa." Lead by professors Paul Tierney, Jr. and Murray Low, a diverse mix of thirty-five graduate students spent the fall semester studying the current climate for doing business on the African continent.

Throughout the semester, we were visited by an impressive array of entrepreneurs, investors, and non-profit directors. Each shared their experiences from years of doing business on the continent, along with their outlooks for the future. The consensus is overwhelmingly positive: time and again we've been told that Africa lies on the cusp of an economic boom the likes of which it has never experienced before.

As experienced Africa-hands, many of our guest speakers offered sage advice as we work to produce business school case studies about successful African entrepreneurs. In January, all thirty-five students will be traveling in teams of five to complete the case study in Tanzania, Ghana, Nigeria or South Africa. Upon completion, the cases will be made available to African business schools, where they will provide more locally relevant points of departure for classroom discussion.

The Entrepreneurship in Africa course grew out of a broader initiative led by Columbia Business School Dean Glenn Hubbard to link the school more closely to the African continent. Hubbard believes that Columbia can best help people in Africa by focusing on what we do best--educating the next generation of African business leaders.

To do this, we have partnered with the African Association of Business Schools, a network of top African business schools to identify and address their most pressing needs. Columbia professors, including Murray Low and Charles Calomiris, have led seminars for African professors to improve their ability to lead students through the “case” method of participatory learning.

As this initiative progressed, it quickly became apparent that the case method would be rather ineffective without cases relevant to local contexts. Our course was created with the dual goals of providing Columbia students with greater insight into the opportunities of doing business in Africa and creating a series of exceptional business school cases about world-class African companies. In doing this, we hope to dispel the myth that African businesses and their leaders are somehow less sophisticated than their counterparts in the rest of the world.

My own team is working with Lagos-based Computer Warehouse Group, the largest IT systems integrator in West Africa. We'll visit with many of the company's employees in Nigeria, including founder Austin Okere, as we chart the firm's success over the past two decades. With no substantial sources of external financing, the company has now reached $100 million in revenues from a client base including some of the world's biggest brands. Stay tuned to FT.com for an update from our team's trip to Nigeria in mid-January.

As the first trip to Africa for many in the class, it affords the opportunity to see for ourselves which is closer to reality, the hopeful picture of robust economic growth painted by African business leaders and New York investment professionals or the bleak image of nations devastated by poverty, disease, corruption and conflict presented by the mainstream media.

In this sense, our class offered a deeper perspective on the backlash against the more conventional view of Africa--a movement whose epicenter can be found in the now annual TED Africa Conference. Indeed, we were even fortunate enough to share the same kick-off speaker as last June's conference in Tanzania, Euvin Euvin Naidoo of Standard Chartered Bank and the South Africa Chamber of Commerce Americas.

Naidoo is quick to point out that although AIDS, corruption and armed conflict remain serious impediments to Africa's potential, these are not the most interesting stories emerging from the continent. Rather, what fascinates him most are the now common stories of resourceful entrepreneurs with the tenacity to build thriving businesses within this context.

For at least the past five years, the majority of Africa's economies have experienced GDP growth almost twice as high as here in the U.S. To large degree, this growth has been built on foundations of expanded democracy and improved governance. As the first two generations of post-colonial leaders have finally begun to fade from the scene, there is evidence that many of the new governments are committed to economic liberalization and public-sector reform.

Although the run-up of commodities prices over the last few years can account for much of Africa's growth, sectors outside of natural resource are also booming. Scalable businesses in the telecommunications, construction, consumer lending, and retail sectors are appearing across the continent. For the first time since independence, international investors are actively seeking business plans targeting domestic markets as opposed to exports.

With a growing track record of steady economic growth across the continent, foreign direct investment is surging. Among those attracted by domestic consumer markets is Kofi Bucknor, managing director of Kingdom Zephyr, a joint venture between the private equity firm Zephyr Management and Prince Alwaleed bin Talal of Saudi Arabia. The group's first fund, Pan-African Investment Partners, realized returns greater than 300% over just a few years by investing in banking and cellular communications companies on the continent.

During a recent visit to New York to raise the firm's new $500 million fund, Bucknor provided our class with a unique opportunity to hear his pitch to investors first-hand. His strategy is relatively simple: By providing growth capital, improved corporate governance, managerial expertise, and access to managerial expertise, his fund can transform loosely managed start-ups into more professionalized enterprises with the discipline to deliver consistent results. If it weren't for the $5 million minimum buy-in, he almost certainly would have left the session with a fistful of checks.

Simon Harford, CEO for West Africa of Actis Capital, a UK private equity firm, helped put these inflows of private capital into perspective. He pointed out that investments from foreign companies are already beginning to dwarf aid money from the UN and loans from the World Bank. Harford characterized Nigeria's current economic boom as perhaps the greatest investment climate since independence.

Later Sev Vettivetpillai, CEO of Aureos Capital, a global private equity firm with several offices in Africa, believes investments in the $5-10 million range are most appropriate for the African context. Where private equity funds aiming for larger deployments will find it increasingly difficult to find attractive acquisition targets, he believes Aureos will have access to more high quality deal-flow.

Meanwhile, according to Jon Chew and Mark Tunmer of Botswana-based Imara Holdings, fund managers are increasingly attracted to African markets because they represent one of the last asset classes not correlated to global markets. Stock markets in Africa have continued marching along unconcerned by the sub-prime fallout that has roiled markets across the globe. Although this is an attractive feature for institutional investors, the duo were quick to point out that as more funds flow into the market, it will become increasingly difficult for them to deploy their capital in ways that make sense.

Perhaps the speaker with the most intriguing--if a bit idiosyncratic--opportunity in Africa is Ben Howell, manager for emerging markets of the Houston-based hedge fund HBK. His firm has purchased a minority stake in Clark Sustainable Resource Developments, a Canadian venture that is logging the hardwood forests submerged beneath Ghana's massive Lake Volta. Since 1965, a forest of pristine old-growth hardwoods has been submerged in some 100 feet of water thanks to the construction of the Akosombo dam. By harvesting the trees with technology from the off-shore oil industry, Howell and CSRD believe they may be able to supply some 20% of the world's environmentally certified hardwoods.

During another session, Scott Malpass, Chief Investment Officer for the University of Notre Dame, presented his view of Africa from his perspective as the manager of one of the largest university endowments. Malpass has realized unprecedented success in growing his school's assets through a strategy of diversifying into emerging markets, particularly China and India. The recent success stories out of Africa have not gone unnoticed, however, as he is actively seeking to move a larger portion of his $X billion under management into the region.

In addition to an impressive line-up of business chiefs, we were also fortunate to host several leaders of non-profit groups. Bruce McNamer, President of TechnoServe, told us about his organization's decades-long effort to help entrepreneurs on the continent move up the value chain. We looked closely at TechnoServe's successful efforts to boost the prices received by a Tanzanian coffee cooperative. McNamer was one of many speakers to stress that nearly every African is an entrepreneur at heart, eager to seize opportunities wherever they may be found.

Antony Mwaniki, CEO of Mobile4Good.com, shared his experiences leading a start-up that uses cell phone text messaging to match job-seekers with employers in Nairobi, Kenya. Leveraging technology to help people find employment, his company aims to be profitable while addressing a societal challenge. Funded by Jim Harmon, a New York investor looking for a meaningful avenue to contribute to Kenya's economic development, Mobile4Good is the perfect example of a new, more productive replacement for traditional philanthropy. The venture's backers echo the sentiments of NYU economist William Easterly, journalist Andrew Mwenda and others who argue that its time to rethink our approach to foreign aid.

Perhaps the most inspiring story to emerge from the class came from Isaac Shongwe, a black South African who scored a coveted scholarship to attend an American university in 1989. He later earned a Rhodes scholarship, completing his MBA at Oxford and returning to his native country where he has become a leader in Black Economic Empowerment financing.

Shongwe showed how the combination of humility, brilliance and determination can lead to success in even the most difficult of circumstances. It is with precisely this entrepreneurial spirit that our class now departs for Africa.

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Benin's Cotton Economy

Driving through the north of Benin, the only intensive economic activity you're likely to see is cotton production. Indeed, cotton accounts for 40% of GDP, which was measured at $1,200 per capita in 2004.

We passed dozens of overloaded cotton trucks just like these in our seven days in the country.




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Tuesday, January 08, 2008

Applied African Ingenuity

You have already crammed nine guys into a car with five seats. You have already loaded 100 pounds worth of clothes, flour and other merchandise on the roof of the car. So what are you going to do with the twenty live turkeys you promised you would deliver to market by this afternoon?

In Benin, the solution would be obvious:



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Sunday, January 06, 2008

Cotonou's Crowded Marketplace

George Bush recently visited Cotonou, Benin. Something tells me he didn't wander far enough from the airport to experience the city's bustling Danktopa marketplace. The most ridiculously chaotic place I've ever seen. According to Wikipedia, the market has a turnover of $1 billion CFA ($2.26 million) per day--mostly on transactions under $5!

Here are a few pics of the harbor at the north end of the market, where thousands arrive via boat every hour to do their shopping.

For a better taste of just how wild this place is, watch a few of my videos from another section of this market.







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Chaotic Street Scenes in Cotonou, Benin, West Africa












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Thursday, December 27, 2007

The Nicest Building in Accra, Ghana



Still under construction, Accra's most modern office tower shimers in the sunlight. Something its owner is not likely to enjoy for sometime, as he was arrested for cocaine trafficking not too long ago. Work goes on, however, as he appears to have successfully transfered the assets to his mother. All this is just gathered from a few taxi drivers who took me past the building. If anybody has more info on this story, please post to the comments.

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Saturday, December 15, 2007

Entrepreneurship in Africa - A Master Class at Columbia Business School

Columbia Business School's new master class, "Entrepreneurship in Africa," could just as well have been called, "Optimism about Africa." Lead by professors Paul Tierney, Jr. and Murray Low, a diverse mix of thirty-five graduate students spent the fall semester studying the current climate for doing business on the African continent.

Throughout the semester, we were visited by an impressive array of entrepreneurs, investors, and non-profit directors. Each shared their experiences from years of doing business on the continent, along with their outlooks for the future. The consensus is overwhelmingly positive: time and again we've been told that Africa lies on the cusp of an economic boom the likes of which it has never experienced before.

As experienced Africa-hands, many of our guest speakers offered sage advice as we work to produce business school case studies about successful African entrepreneurs. In January, all thirty-five students will be traveling in teams of five to complete the case study in Tanzania, Ghana, Nigeria or South Africa. Upon completion, the cases will be made available to African business schools, where they will provide more locally relevant points of departure for classroom discussion.

The Entrepreneurship in Africa course grew out of a broader initiative led by Columbia Business School Dean Glenn Hubbard to link the school more closely to the African continent. Hubbard believes that Columbia can best help people in Africa by focusing on what we do best—educating the next generation of African business leaders.

To do this, we have partnered with the African Association of Business Schools, a network of top African business schools to identify and address their most pressing needs. Columbia professors, including Murray Low and Charles Calomiris, have led seminars for African professors to improve their ability to lead students through the “case” method of participatory learning.

As this initiative progressed, it quickly became apparent that the case method would be rather ineffective without cases relevant to local contexts. Our course was created with the dual goals of providing Columbia students with greater insight into the opportunities of doing business in Africa and creating a series of exceptional business school cases about world-class African companies. In doing this, we hope to dispel the myth that African businesses and their leaders are somehow less sophisticated than their counterparts in the rest of the world.

My own team is working with Lagos-based Computer Warehouse Group, the largest IT systems integrator in West Africa. We'll visit with many of the company's employees in Nigeria, including founder Austin Okere, as we chart the firm's success over the past two decades. With no substantial sources of external financing, the company has now reached $100 million in revenues from a client base including some of the world's biggest brands. Stay tuned to FT.com for an update from our team's trip to Nigeria in mid-January.

As the first trip to Africa for many in the class, it affords the opportunity to see for ourselves which is closer to reality, the hopeful picture of robust economic growth painted by African business leaders and New York investment professionals or the bleak image of nations devastated by poverty, disease, corruption and conflict presented by the mainstream media.

In this sense, our class offered a deeper perspective on the backlash against the more conventional view of Africa—a movement whose epicenter can be found in the now annual TED Africa Conference. Indeed, we were even fortunate enough to share the same kick-off speaker as last June's conference in Tanzania, Euvin Euvin Naidoo of Standard Chartered Bank and the South Africa Chamber of Commerce Americas.

Naidoo is quick to point out that although AIDS, corruption and armed conflict remain serious impediments to Africa's potential, these are not the most interesting stories emerging from the continent. Rather, what fascinates him most are the now common stories of resourceful entrepreneurs with the tenacity to build thriving businesses within this context.

For at least the past five years, the majority of Africa's economies have experienced GDP growth almost twice as high as here in the U.S. To large degree, this growth has been built on foundations of expanded democracy and improved governance. As the first two generations of post-colonial leaders have finally begun to fade from the scene, there is evidence that many of the new governments are committed to economic liberalization and public-sector reform.

Although the run-up of commodities prices over the last few years can account for much of Africa's growth, sectors outside of natural resource are also booming. Scalable businesses in the telecommunications, construction, consumer lending, and retail sectors are appearing across the continent. For the first time since independence, international investors are actively seeking business plans targeting domestic markets as opposed to exports.

With a growing track record of steady economic growth across the continent, foreign direct investment is surging. Among those attracted by domestic consumer markets is Kofi Bucknor, managing director of Kingdom Zephyr, a joint venture between the private equity firm Zephyr Management and Prince Alwaleed bin Talal of Saudi Arabia. The group's first fund, Pan-African Investment Partners, realized returns greater than 300% over just a few years, primarily through shrewd innvestments in banks and consumer lending firms on the continent.

During a recent visit to New York to raise the firm's new $500 million fund, Bucknor provided our class with a unique opportunity to hear his pitch to investors first-hand. His strategy is relatively simple: By providing growth capital, improved corporate governance, managerial expertise, and access to managerial expertise, his fund can transform loosely managed start-ups into more professionalized enterprises with the discipline to deliver consistent results. If it weren't for the $5 million minimum buy-in, he almost certainly would have left the session with a fistful of checks.

Simon Harford, CEO for West Africa of Actis Capital, a UK private equity firm, helped put these inflows of private capital into perspective. He pointed out that investments from foreign companies are already beginning to dwarf aid money from the UN and loans from the World Bank. Harford characterized this as perhaps the greatest investment climate since independence.

Later Sev Vettivetpillai, CEO of Aureos Capital, a global private equity firm with several offices in Africa, believes investments in the $5-10 million range are most appropriate for the African context. Where private equity funds aiming for larger deployments will find it increasingly difficult to find attractive acquisition targets, he believes Aureos will have access to more high quality deal-flow.

Meanwhile, according to Jon Chew and Mark Tunmer of Botswana-based Imara Holdings, fund managers are increasingly attracted to African markets because they represent one of the last asset classes not correlated to global markets. Stock markets in Africa have continued marching along unconcerned by the sub-prime fallout that has roiled markets across the globe. Although this is an attractive feature for institutional investors, the duo were quick to point out that as more funds flow into the market, it will become increasingly difficult for them to deploy their capital in ways that make sense.

Perhaps the speaker with the most intriguing—if a bit idiosyncratic—opportunity in Africa is Ben Howell, manager for emerging markets of the Houston-based hedge fund HBK. His firm has purchased a minority stake in Clark Sustainable Resource Development, a Canadian firm with a contract to log the hardwood forests submerged by Ghana's massive Lake Volta. Since 1965, a forest of pristine old-growth hardwoods has been submerged in some 100 feet of water thanks to the construction of the Akosombo dam. By harvesting the trees with technology from the off-shore oil industry, Howell and CSRD believe they may be able to supply some 20% of the world's environmentally certified hardwoods.

During another session, Scott Malpass, Chief Investment Officer for the University of Notre Dame, presented his view of Africa from his perspective as the manager of one of the largest university endowments. Malpass has realized unprecedented success in growing his school's assets through a strategy of diversifying into emerging markets, particularly China and India. The recent success stories out of Africa have not gone unnoticed, however, as he is actively seeking to move a larger portion of his $15+ billion under management into the region.

In addition to an impressive line-up of business chiefs, we were also fortunate to host several leaders of non-profit groups. Bruce McNamer, President of TechnoServe, told us about his organization's decades-long effort to help entrepreneurs on the continent move up the value chain. We looked closely at TechnoServe's successful efforts to boost the prices received by a Tanzanian coffee cooperative. McNamer was one of many speakers to stress that nearly every African is an entrepreneur at heart, eager to seize opportunities wherever they may be found.

Antony Mwaniki, CEO of Mobile4Good.com, shared his experiences leading a start-up that uses cell phone text messaging to match job-seekers with employers in Nairobi, Kenya. Leveraging technology to help people find employment, his company aims to be profitable while addressing a societal challenge. Funded by Jim Harmon, a New York investor looking to give something back, Mobile4Good is the perfect example of a new, more productive replacement for traditional philanthropy. The venture's backers echo the sentiments of NYU economist William Easterly, journalist Andrew Mwenda and others who argue that its time to rethink our approach to foreign aid.

Perhaps the most inspiring story to emerge from the class came from Isaac Shongwe, a black South African who scored a coveted scholarship to attend an American university in 1989. He later earned a Rhodes scholarship, completing his MBA at Oxford and returning to his native country where he has become a leader in Black Economic Empowerment financing.

Shongwe showed how the combination of humility, brilliance and determination can lead to success in even the most difficult of circumstances. It is with precisely this entrepreneurial spirit that our class now departs for Africa.

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Thursday, December 13, 2007

Malaria Pills, Distributed Knowledge and the Myth of the Miracle Working Doctor

The healthcare industry needs a major infusion of distributed knowledge. The majority of people willing to spend a decade of their lives studying to become a doctor are not even given the opportunity to do so. Meanwhile, we put those who do make the cut on a pedastal where they are expected to be some kind of miracle worker. Yet last year we had 98,000 deaths from medical malpractice in the United States.

At the same time, there's a tremendous amount of information out there that has never been easier to access. It seems like a lot of common diseases could even be self-diagnosed on Wikipedia today. And if I know what's wrong with me, why should I have to pay a doctor to get a prescription for the medicine that I already know that I need?

The clearest example of this is malaria pills. If you are traveling to certain tropical countries, you need malaria pills. But you have to pay a doctor for a half-hour long appointment just for the right to buy the malaria pills that you already know you need. Why? Is there a problem with people abusing malaria pills?

Is there some very simple way we can reform this system?

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Sunday, November 18, 2007

The Story of Isaac Shongwe, South African Entrepreneur Extraordinaire

Last week Columbia Business School had the thrill to host Isaac Shongwe, a South African entrepreneur, trustee of the Aspen Institute and head of the South African chapter of the African Leadership Initiative.

Shongwe was one of the few black South Africans fortunate enough to receive a scholarship to study in the United States during the early 1980s. He attended Wesleyan University in Connecticut, and during his first summer worked at the ANC offices in New York City. Because it was still banned in South Africa, New York must have played an even more crucial role in the organization's operations. During this summer, he realized that while there were many South Africans working on political solutions for post-Apartheid era, nobody was working on economic issues. He realized that in order for the condition of black people in South Africa to be materially improved after the regime change, economic solutions would be critical. And besides, says Shongwe, he would make a bad politician because he likes to argue, asks too many questions and is too honest.

When he looks at the incredible progress that has been made in his home country in the last 15 years, he is always amazed. "If you asked those of us at ANC in that summer how things would turn out, they couldn't have dreamed that things would have progressed as far as they have today." Much of that progress is due to the miracle of 1994 and before that, the miracle of '91 when Mandela was released from prison. Then when the ANC rose to power, they legislated Black Economic Empowerment (BEE), a statute designed to enhance black involvement in the economy at both employee and ownership levels.

Shongwe's response to BEE is that it doesn't encourage entrepreneurship but it does encourage redistribution. At the outset, it was necessary because things were so badly skewed toward the whites that some level of redistribution was necessary, but in the long run the goal must be to have a society that does not require race-based legislation of this type.

In 1988 Shongwe, having finished his degree in the United States, returned to South Africa and joined one of the big companies there. By this time he had already decided to go the entrepreneurial route, but would first spend five years learning about the industries he was interested in. So he joined an industrial conglomerate and spent several years working there while living in a township. At that time, blacks in the township where he was living still were very much opposed to private enterprise because they felt capitalism provided the economic support that perpetuated an evil system of government. He was actually embarassed to tell people that he worked for a business at that time, and believes that to this day South Africa suffers from a lack of entrepreneurial and capitalist mindsets as a legacy of the apartheid years.

In 1989 Shongwe won a Rhodes scholarship to do his MBA at Oxford. He then joined Monitor Group, a consulting firm founded by Michael Porter. He spent several years there and eventually moved back to South Africa to help launch the firm's first office in the country. His stay with Monitor was really geared to ward acquiring the skills he would need to open his own consulting firm, known as Letsema Consulting focused on corporate transformations and BEE. He and a friend lined up one client and then launched a strategy consulting company.

Today they are a major local partner for McKinsey, employing sixty people and generating sizable profits for the partners. They have differentiated themselves from other BEE partners by creating intellectual capital that businesses in South Africa would really need. In '98 they set up the investment arm that began approaching firms in need of BEE partners (by law any company doing business with the government in South Africa must be at least 25% black owned), with the proposition that they would provide value-added consulting work that would vest as ownership stakes over a period of time. This allowed partners to meet their BEE requirements while receiving more in exchange than other BEE investors could offer.

Since '98 he has also launched a public relations and communications firm. Meanwhile the holding firm, which employs six full-time staff, is now invested in six companies.

His company’s largest investment to date is a 25% in Barloworld Logistics, a huge player in the South African transportation and logistics business. Because BEE laws mandate that all companies in the country must use suppliers that are black-owned as well, it made a tremendous amount of sense for a B2B firm like Barloworld to take on a BEE partner. And as noted above, Shongwe makes an ideal BEE partner because his company brings a tremendous amount of black intellectual capital as opposed to simply providing financing. So when his company purchased 25% of Barloworld, he became CEO of the firm, not just a BEE partner.

The motivation for him becoming CEO is that to finance the deal, his firm had to take on $150 million in debt. It was therefore very important to see to it that Barloworld was managed for growth while simultaneously providing the cash flow to meet the interest payments. They have since more than doubled revenues to about $6 billion U.S., exceeding forecasts so that his investment firm can pay down the debt faster than expected.

At the core of opportunities in the new South Africa is the massive expansion of opportunities for black people. The economy is really being fueled by new spending power on the part of the black population, which can be seen in the growth in mortgages, autos, and other spending on consumer goods. As the tax base has increased, the government is in a strong position to develop badly needed infrastructure. Huge sums are now earmarked for water, sanitation, and electricity.

Meanwhile, there is a backlog of housing, which has meant that construction firms are operating at full capacity trying to meet this demand. There are also huge shortages in education infrastructure as well as in roads, rails and ports. Add to all this the 2010 World Cup, with the first subway going into Johannesburg at a cost of $10 billion Rand ($1.3 billion US). All these projects are leading to surges in international interest, which we saw most recently with the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China’s $5 billion US investment in Standard Bank.

Perhaps the greatest shortage in South Africa remains a lack of entrepreneurship. According to Shongwe, this has its roots in an apartheid system that provided so few opportunities to blacks that they did not develop the mindset needed to develop their own businesses. A big part of this is simply the lack of education provided during that era, and building up that educational infrastructure is not something that can be done overnight.

In conclusion, Shongwe sees big challenges and some serious risks ahead for the country. However, as he looks around the world, he asks which country doesn’t have a risk of some form or another. But when you go to South Africa, things work, some parts are really like the first world. And in general, since 1994, the black government has done a great job to the point where democracy is now a way of life in the country. The next president of the ANC will be decided in December, so there is a polarized situation within the ANC. However, he is optimistic that sanity will prevail and that the country’s economic trajectory will continue to be pursued by the new government.

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Growing Africa Gets a Share Index

With all the attention on Africa orginating from the investing community, it was only a matter of time before somebody created an African index. Renaissance Capital won the race on this one, but expect many more as investors seek assets whose returns are not correlated with world markets. By most accounts, African stocks represent one of the last asset classes that still fits this description, attracting many hedge fund managers, private equity and others whose pay depends on alpha. It appears that raising the funds will be far easier than investing them in thet continen'ts relatively thin capital markets.


Source: BBC
URL: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/7038394.stm

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Austin Okere on Entrepreneurial Versus Managerial Mindsets

Austin Okere, founder of Computer Warehouse Group, on the need for an entrepreneur to maintain control, make quick decisions and seize opportunities.

“You need the speed of light to make a decision. I talk about [growth] as intrinsic opportunity which means you can’t say now this is my budget and my strategy for the year and then that’s it.

That’s the difference between being an entrepreneurial-minded person, I think, and someone who is more managerial. You know you give [a managerial person] a blueprint and you run with it, but you wouldn’t know what opportunities he has missed along the line if you are doing what you are doing.

Our growth has been exponential because of these opportunities that we constantly take advantage of which we probably didn’t see at the beginning of the year when we were doing our strategic plan.”

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Monday, November 05, 2007

Leader of African Private Equity Firm Visits CBS

With barely 24 hours advanced notice, more than seventy-five CBSers attended an October 1 talk by Simon Harford, CEO for West Africa of Actis, a pioneer in emerging markets private equity.

Mr. Harford began the discussion of private equity and entrepreneurship in Africa by painting a very rosy picture of the economic outlook for the continent, with particular emphasis on Nigeria, a place he has called home for the last several years. He expressed optimism in the ability of the private sector to succeed in creating progress in places where decades of foreign aid and poor governance have accomplished little.

However, he emphasized that Africa suffers from a shortage of well-trained managers who are prepared to lead the next generation of business ventures on the continent. Mr. Simon concluded by saying that before Africa can ever come close to its potential, it must handle the problem of corruption.

A native of the UK, Mr. Harford first moved to Nigeria three years ago as the founding CEO of Virgin Nigeria, a joint-venture between Virgin Atlantic and Nigerian institutional investors. He joined Actis to run its West Africa arm 1.5 years ago, and is currently helping to raise the group’s next fund. Professors Murray Low and Paul Tierney, Jr. invited Mr. Harford to visit CBS as part of their new master class, Entrepreneurship in Africa.

Mr. Harford pointed out that Nigeria’s economy has averaged +/- 6 percent economic growth for the last several years, and emphasized that if you remove the oil industry from these statistics, growth approaches 8-9 percent. Likewise, foreign direct investment has doubled in recent years to about $6 billion in 2005, while FDI in the non-oil sector have increased from $0.3 billion to $1.7 billion.

Mr. Simon pointed out that investments from foreign companies are already beginning to dwarf aid money from the UN and loans from the World Bank. Similar trends can be seen across the African continent, presenting what may be the greatest investment climate since independence.
Not surprisingly, then, stock markets across the continent are soaring. Indeed, according to Mr. Harford, the stock market in Lagos is arguably approaching levels of “irrational exuberance” comparable with those seen in Shanghai. He attributed the run-up in Nigeria’s markets to three factors: GDP growth and pension reform has lead to greater savings, which are being invested in the markets; government crack-downs on money laundering have made it harder for “dirty” funds to be transferred overseas; and finally, the influx of foreign capital flows.

The country’s burgeoning capital markets ensure that raising money for a business venture in Nigeria is no longer the biggest problem. If an entrepreneur or business person tells that they cannot raise the money they need to grow, one can assume immediately that there is something wrong with the business plan, the management team, or some aspect of the operations themselves.

Rather, the major obstacles to entrepreneurship are corruption and a shortage of management. Mr. Harford said that several of his friends had tried starting businesses in Nigeria but were frustrated by the obstacles and costs of bureaucracy and demands for bribes. He also shared several stories about such challenges he faced as CEO of Virgin Nigeria. Although he says that he maintains a zero-tolerance policy for corruption, and that he has never paid a bribe of any sort—not even in his personal life—he acknowledged that such a policy is both extremely difficult, and vastly easier for one in his position managing a relatively large and high profile business, whereas a small business owner will often face greater challenges.

In addition to endemic corruption, Mr. Harford also pointed that African companies often cite their concerns of insufficient management pool. However, from the looks of enthusiasm in the audience, it appears that at least a dozen or so African CBSers are eager to prove him wrong.

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Monday, October 22, 2007

Headed to Nigeria

I have been selected to write a business school case about Computer Warehouse, a Nigerian IT consulting firm. Along with an all-star team from Columbia Business School (featuring two Nigerians and a Czeck guy), I'll be heading to Lagos in mid-January to collect data and conduct a series of interviews with stakeholders.

Stay tuned for updates on this exciting opportunity.

Lagos, Nigera
(picture courtesty of Swedetrack.com)

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Friday, September 21, 2007

Tom Barry Discusses Private Equity in Nigeria

Tom Barry, founder of Zephyr Management, one of the early pioneers of private equity in Africa, visited our course on Entrepreneurship in Africa this week. He spoke to us about his involvement with the first private equity fund in Nigeria, Capital Alliance, and the difficulties behind that fund's first investment.

Capital Alliance bought a 25% stake in GS Telecom, a business to business network solutions provider offering satelite connectivity for banks, mining and oil companies throughout Nigeria. Tom says one of the mistakes made on that deal was that the negotiators at both sides of the table spent too much time focusing on the percentage split of the pie, and not enough discussing whether their equity infusion would provide enough cash for the firm to truly prosper.

As it turns out, the business (renting satelite networking equipment) was far more capital intensive than they ever imagined. They had to constantly go back to the capital markets to raise more money--both equity and debt. Perhaps as a result of insufficient capital, and to the difficulty of the Nigerian business environment, the firm was not able to meet its original financial projections.

The firm got stuck at about $25 million in revenue for a number of years, and Capital Alliance did not exit their investment until nearly a decade later. Although they made a 3x return, the long time horizon and the high risk environment meant that the investment did not meet the required risk adjusted returns. But it was a great learning experience and a reasonably successful first foray into private equity in the Nigerian context. In the end, it would be enough to encourage investors that there were genuine possibilities and helped lay the ground-work for future successes.

As professor Murray Low says, private equity and venture capital is a lot like pinball. When you win, what do you get? More balls so you can play again!

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Thursday, September 13, 2007

Kofi Bucknor of Kingdom Zephyr Visits CBS

Kofi Bucknor, Managing Director of Kingdom Zephyr, a private equity fund investing in African businesses, joined our class on Entrepreneurship in Africa at Columbia Business School last week. He spent over a decade in investment banking and is the former chair of Ghana's Stock Exchange. A member of the Columbia Business School class of 1979, he says this was his first time returning to speak at Columbia, which he was quite embarrassed about. It won't be his last, as he'll be receiving many invitations.

Kingdom Zephyr is a partnership between Zephyr Management, L.P. and Kindgom Holding, the investment company of the Saudi prince Alwaleed bin Talal. They raised an $80 million fund, "Pan-African Investment Partners," with money not only from the Prince but also institutional investors and development finance institutions like the IFC.

The fund made its first two investments in December 2004 and has since made three others. In total, they have invested $73.5 million, and already have exited three of the investments for $80 million. That means they made $6.5 million and got the other two investments, with unrealized profits about about $110 million, essentially for free!! Quite a track record.

So far the investments have been primarily in the financial sector, not suprising given Kofi's expertise and vast network of contacts in this area. Although considering themselves a private equity fund (with a correspondingly high fee structure), the fund has actually purchased large stakes in several publicly traded companies.

The investments they've made so far include:

  • 23.7% stake (purchased at $13.4 million) in Letshego, a publicly traded consumer finance company in Botswana
  • 0.37% stake in Celtel (purchased for $5.2 million just prior to the sale to MTC of Kuwait, sold at $12.5 million)
  • 4.5% of ETI ($18.3 million), a West African Bank. They sold this stake to a strategic buyer for $64.8 million in April 2007
  • 12.3% of CNIA ($18.2 million), a privately held insurance company in Morocco.
  • 1.3% of UBA (for $18.3 million), a publicly traded Nigerian bank. The value of this share went up by nearly 300% between purchase date in February 2007 and September 2007

Despite the 3x return over just 2 years, investors in this fund need to remember the fee structure: 1% of initial commitments, 2% of assets under management (including capital gains) per annum, and %20 of profits after a preferred return of 7.5% is earned.

The professor, Paul Tierney Jr., asked me to determine the returns to an investor after these fees are taken into account. Through some analysis, my friend and I determined that an investor in the fund is up 147% since December 2004. This sounds jaw-dropping until you remember that African stock markets have been on a tear since that time. An unweighted average of the indexes of Kenya, South Africa, Nigeria, Morocco and Egypt are up 145% since that time!

Kofi's now raising a $500 million fund, Pan-African Investment Partners II, with $250 million already commited from the Prince. They will be looking at investments in the telecommunications, financial and other sectors across the African continent.

The minimum buy-in is $5 million. If you had $100 million, would you invest some of it with these guys?

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Thursday, August 30, 2007

Coming Soon: An Ambassador for Tanzania!


From the Tanzanian Embassy site this afternoon.

There seems to be a vacancy at Ambassador since the last guy got X'd...


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Monday, July 23, 2007

New Course at CBS: Entrepreneurship in Africa

I've been selected to be the TA for a new course at Columbia Business School on Entrepreneurship in Africa. It's being taught by Professors Murray Low and Paul Tierney.

Students in the class (myself included) will form small teams to consult for a real African business in one of five Afrcian countries: Tanzania, Kenya, Nigeria, Ghana and South Africa. During our winter break, we'll be traveling to work with our client firm.

Here's the course description:

Entrepreneurship in Africa (EA) examines how entrepreneurs and those who invest in them design, negotiate and execute ventures that make use of resources and opportunities in the challenging environments of sub-Saharan Africa. The sub-Saharan Africa context will be compared and contrasted with that of India, China, Russia and Brazil.

The course has three specific learning objectives which we frame as questions: First, what does it take to be a successful entrepreneur in Africa? We will place significant emphasis on the challenges of raising financing. Second, what does it take to run a successful venture capital or private equity fund in Africa? We will view these funds themselves as entrepreneurial ventures. Finally, what are the strategic and financial determinants of a successful entrepreneur and how can they be described in the context of a case study? As part of this final objective, students will learn how to engage and provide value to the entrepreneurs being studied.

Through case studies and guest lecturers, students will learn about successful and unsuccessful entrepreneurs and financiers. Up to 30 students will conduct field research with local African companies identified by our African business school partners in Tanzania, Kenya, Ghana, Nigeria and South Africa. Students travel to Africa for a two week field study during the winter break. Each team will produce a case study for teaching purposes. The case studies and accompanying teaching materials will be available to other business schools in Africa and the west. Students will also write a confidential memo to the entrepreneur providing observations and advice based upon their research.

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Monday, June 18, 2007

What Does Africa Need Most: Technology or Aid? - New York Times

What Does Africa Need Most: Technology or Aid? - New York Times: "What Does Africa Need Most: Technology or Aid"

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Wednesday, June 06, 2007

TED comes to Africa

There is an amazing series of presentations going on in Tanzania this week. Some of Africa's greatest thinkers and doers have converged on the TED Global 2007 conference.

The videos aren't online yet, but a few bloggers are covering the events live:

http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/?cat=26

http://www.afromusing.com/blog/

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Saturday, June 02, 2007

Ted.com comes to Africa

Ted's next conference will be held June 4-7th in Tanzania. Stay tuned for updates, or check back to http://www.ted.com/programs/TG2007.

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Thursday, May 31, 2007

Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala: How to help Africa? Do business there

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Sunday, April 15, 2007

Lunch with the FT: Jeffrey Sachs

Copyright The Financial Times

April 6 2007

I am due to meet Jeffrey Sachs in his choice of restaurant, La Porte des Indes, on a quiet central London backstreet. It’s an unremarkable entrance, but once inside the space opens up to give the impression of colonial India, complete with wicker furniture and palm trees growing from the floor below.

The Columbia University economics professor, and director of the Earth Institute, is already there, in conversation with his assistant, Margot. I realise that Sachs is no longer just an eminent academic, he is a brand, and travels the world with an assistant in tow, spreading his economic gospel. I introduce myself, and Margot goes off to have some lunch at another table while ensuring that we don’t overrun our tight schedule.

Sachs is in London to deliver the first of five BBC Reith Lectures, a sought-after honour for academics. The lectures give a chance to talk to a worldwide radio audience. ”[The lecture] is unique as a global discussion. It’s hard to think of another way to reach such a wide audience,” Sachs says, and then pauses. Referring to the BBC, he says: ”They quote a 100 million audience - rather more than that, a 150 million audience.” Then he asks me if I know how many people will listen. I haven’t a clue, I admit, but tell him that the audience figure might need an ”up to” added before the numbers. This first encounter persuades me instantly that his voice - courteous, engaging and persuasive - will work well on radio. Even his slightly unshaven neck, a crime on television, will go unnoticed.

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